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How the Spike in Volatility Punctured the “Short Vol” Trade
For most investors, it’s pretty unsettling to hear that the market’s “fear gauge” is suddenly on a tear. But that’s[…]
Don’t Cry for the Argentine Peso
The Argentine peso has depreciated by more than 40% since 2015, but I believe it is due for stabilization and[…]
Avoid Being “Burned” by Bank Loans
When talking with potential investors, a refrain we often hear is “I was burned by bank loans before, and now[…]
Oil Price Volatility: Are We Out of the Woods Yet?
What’s my advice on oil price volatility? Hang in there. The good news—we’ve been through this before. The bad news—we’ve[…]
Is OPEC Irrelevant?
In late May, OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) and non-OPEC oil producers agreed to extend production cuts through[…]
Commodity and Emerging Market Performance – Is This Divergence Sustainable?
Emerging market (EM) assets were hit hard by the crash in commodity prices in 2014-2015, but so far this year,[…]
The Connected Consumer: 3 Key Themes
Whether watching television, shopping or driving in the car, today’s consumers want to control exactly when, where and how they[…]
European Banks: Be Mindful of Risks in 2017
European banks seem to be on an upward trajectory – although improvements are likely to come at a slow pace[…]
US Housing: Prices Driven Up By Limited Construction & Strong Demand
Single family construction presents a puzzle: with the economy in the seventh year of expansion, why has home construction remained[…]
Oil Outlook for the Remainder of 2016
I believe oil prices will likely remain under pressure through the end of the year. There has been exceptional growth[…]
China: Rising Risks Posed by Shadow Banking
Non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs), which typically operate with less regulatory oversight compared to banks, have existed in China for decades.
BB-Rated Bank Loans Can Make It Better: Reducing Volatility, Drawdown Risk
Our bank loan team has long believed that BB-rated bank loans can be very attractive to asset allocators who wish[…]
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